2026 State of the Industry: Retail Report

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If there’s one word that keeps coming up in this year’s Retail Report, it’s space.

Not just in the showroom — though retailers overwhelmingly cited space as their biggest showroom challenge — but across the business. Less margin for error. Less room to absorb costs. Less patience from customers. And, in many cases, less willingness to simply “spend more” to grow. Less space all around. 

The 2025 season reflected that tension. Nearly half of retailers reported revenue growth, while a sizable share saw declines, a split that underscores just how uneven the market has become. Inflation, tariffs and interest rates continue to shape decision-making, yet more than half of retailers still say they feel optimistic heading into 2026. Not because conditions are perfect, but because they’re learning how to operate within them.

That mindset is showing up everywhere. Most retailers are holding marketing budgets steady rather than increasing spend. Nearly 70% say AI hasn’t meaningfully impacted their business, at least not yet. And while wellness products like saunas and cold plunges are gaining attention, adoption remains far from universal. In other words, this isn’t a year of sweeping change — it’s a year of selective moves.

Even the customer has shifted. Buyers are more price-sensitive, more informed and more deliberate in how they shop. They still want the benefits — relaxation, hydrotherapy, a better backyard — but they’re thinking harder about how and when they spend.

For retailers, that’s forcing a recalibration. Growth isn’t coming from doing more of everything. It’s coming from doing a few things better — refining product mix, leaning into service, improving the in-store experience and making smarter bets on where the market is headed.

That may not be as flashy as the boom years. But it may be more sustainable. 

We invite you to read on for the 2026 State of the Industry Retail Report.

Business Performance & Outlook

2025 was a tale of two businesses. Nearly half of retailers saw growth, while others felt the squeeze — proof not every retailer is experiencing the same market right now. Still, most are heading into 2026 feeling optimistic, even as tariffs, inflation and interest rates continue to shape how they operate.

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Staffing & Workforce Realities

On paper, staffing looks steady. In practice, it’s anything but easy. Retailers continue to rely on referrals to hire and company culture to retain, but nearly half say reliability and work ethic are still hard to find — shifting the conversation from how many employees you have to how strong they are.

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Marketing That Moves the Needle

When it comes to marketing, the fundamentals still win. Word-of-mouth remains the most effective strategy, followed closely by social media and in-store events — reinforcing that connection, not just visibility, drives results. Even so, most retailers are holding their marketing budgets steady in 2026, signaling a shift toward refining what works rather than simply spending more.

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AI may be everywhere in conversation, but adoption in the pool and spa retail space remains limited. While a small group of respondents pointed to AI as a source of future confidence, nearly 70% say it hasn’t played a meaningful role in their business yet — suggesting the industry is still in the early stages of understanding where and how the technology fits.

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Product Mix & Sales Drivers

The staples are still doing the heavy lifting. Chemicals, equipment and hot tubs continue to dominate sales, but beneath that stability is a growing push toward diversification. Nearly half of retailers added new products or brands — from automation and water care systems to saunas and cold plunges — signaling a shift toward building around the core, not replacing it.

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Pricing, Financing & Revenue Strategy

Raising prices isn’t optional — it’s reality. Most retailers increased prices in 2025, and more than 80% plan to do it again in 2026, as inflation, tariffs and supplier costs continue to squeeze margins. Some are absorbing what they can, others are adjusting — but across the board, customers are feeling it, making financing an important tool in an increasingly price-sensitive market.

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The Wellness Economy Takes Hold

Wellness is growing — just not at the same pace for everyone. Hot tubs remain the clear leader, while saunas, cold plunges and swim spas continue to gain attention. For retailers, it’s less about whether to enter the category, and more about how far to take it.

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The Modern Spa Customer

Today’s spa customer is thinking it through. Hydrotherapy, capacity and ease of use are winning out over flashy features, while practical add-ons like covers and steps still make the cut. But with nearly three-quarters of retailers reporting increased price sensitivity, every purchase is being weighed more carefully.

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Showroom Challenges & Growth Opportunities

It all comes back to space. For many retailers, the biggest constraint isn’t demand, it’s room to show it. From limited square footage to inconsistent foot traffic, the challenge is making the most of what’s in front of them. At the same time, opportunity is everywhere — from wellness and service to new markets — if they can find a way to capture it.

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